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Reprinted from the Journal of the American Society for Psychical Research
Volume 65— July 1971 — Number 3
ESP Over Distance: Research on the
ESP Channel
Karuis Osis, Matcotm E, Turner, JR.,
AND Mary Lou Cartson?
ABSTRACT: Our literature survey and Experiment I indicated a decline in ESP
scoring over distance. Experiments I and III here are essentially repli-
cations, except that instead of different persons displaying the targets in different
locations, one person took them around the world. Target locations were New
ork, Paris, New Delhi, and Sydney; distance was varied from less than a mile
to 10,500 miles. Subjects were blind to the distance for each session. Information
iven which could help subjects to scan the earth in search of the targets was
varied from no information, to giving the direction of the route, to giving the
names of the four cities. Subjective factors were measured. In Experiment II, 57
subjects did 912 runs; in Experiment III 70 subjects did 1,120 runs. ESP measures
were psi-hitting and psi-missing scores on direct hits and forward and back-
isplacements. Results were evaluated by canonical correlation and stepwise
I
S.5%<
ion analysis. A successive canonical analysis found that in Ex-
ESP was affected by distance on two measures, with chi squares
significant at the .002 and .04 levels, One ESP measure which declined significantly
Experiment I, also did so in ent I]; the decline was .70 units per 1,000
distance effects in Experiment III. The information given
P scanning area did not appear to influence results.
based on associations between persons, rather than
. The mood of the person with the targets strongly affected the results,
was a clairvoyance one. Subject mood and position effects were
Cj
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Fay
INTRODUCTION
Sensory perception, which might appear to be a simple process,
is actually a complex information system. Its two major parts are:
(a) Incoming stimuli, e.g., light waves reaching the retina. They
are of course external to the organism. (6) The internal information
processing system, with its many parts such as the physiological
receptors and the neurological pathways in the brain.
Extrasensory perception is also an information system which
may be divided into two corresponding parts: (2) The external
reach to the stimulus object or person, and (4) the internal infor-
mation processing system. With sensory perception we know what
the external part of the system is. In extrasensory perception, the
1 The concepts of these experiments were developed in close cooperation with
the late Chester F. Carlson. We wish to express gratitude to the Shanti and Code
Foundations for funding the preientts to Dr. Gardner Murphy, who advised us on
theoretical problems; to Dr. Thomas Todd for his help in the evaluations; to Dr.
Walter Houston Clark and Mr. Fred Rindge, who carried the stimuli around the
world; and to all those who took part in the experiments.
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246 Fournal of the American Society for Psychical Research
external part of the information system is largely unknown. We
sometimes call it an X factor, or “channel."’ This term conforms
to the language of information theory, but does not prejudge the
nature of this channel. The internal information processing may
well follow the normal psychology and physiology of the organism.
It is the channel, extending outside the boundaries of the organism,
which is the “para” of parapsychology. It is that part of ESP which
has always excited the curiosity of philosophers and psychical re-
searchers, with its implications for the nature of human personality
and the universe around us.
In spite of the general consensus on the importance of the
‘iene, there have been extremely few experiments devoted to
it in parapsychology. Most research has dealt with the psychology
and physiology of ESP or its relation to target material, but not
with the channel. Perhaps it is the immensely radical “otherness”
of the few known properties of the channel which makes most
parapsychologists uncomfortable with it, as scientists are in general
about psi processes. We feel that there should be a reassessment
of research priorities in favor of work on the channel.
Our own efforts in connection with the problem of the channel
factor include the following four projects:
1, A survey of relevant research papers in English, in which
we found one property possibly attributable to the channel: attenu-
ation of ESP information over distance (21).
2. Experiment I: A “blind” long distance experiment in which
we balanced out many of the subjective factors which could obscure
or mimic distance effects (24). We found a very slight but significant
decline in ESP scoring over distance.
3. Experiment II: Reported here, in which the same person
exposed the me cards at different distances. ESP orientation
in territories unknown to the subjects (Ss) was also explored in
this experiment.
4. Experiment III: Also reported here, which replicated Ex-
iment II with a different person traveling with the target cards.
t also explored further certain factors, notably selective field
interactions, which were first encountered in Experiment II.
Our research on the ESP channel, then, began by investigating
the relationship between ESP scores and distance, and came also
to include two other factors related to the channel: ESP orientation
and selective field interactions. We will consider each in turn.
Relationship between ESP and Distance
The decline or lack of decline of ESP over distance has long
been debated in parapsychology and there is scarcely a topic which
has been subject to more confusion. It was discovered relatively
P Over Distance: Research on the ESP Channel 247
early that ESP can overcome long distances. Early S.P.R. case
collections (36) have cases of telepathy between England and
Australia, for example. Usher and Burt (40) in 1909 demonstrated
: imental ESP over considerable distances. The conclusion was
reached that ESP can bridge distances around the world. From
this, the further eeplstion was made that ESP is independent
of distance. But if ESP can reach from London to Australia, this
does not exclude the possibility that the amount of ESP information
transmitted suffers some decline with distance. Very careful
measurements are necessary in order to determine whether the
level of ESP information decreases, increases, or remains the same
when distance is varied.
_ As early as 1937 J.B. Rhine (27), and later others, recognized the
possibility that subjective feelings, attitudes, and states could
mimic distance effects in the test data. It was argued that people
who are near to the targets might feel more confident that they
could do the task, and by just that subjective factor alone might
score better than those who are far away. The obvious answer to
this very good argument is to do new experiments in which the
Ss are kept blind in regard to distance; i.e., not knowing at
which times the targets are far from them and at which times near;
and in which the other subjective factors such as S fatigue or mood
and position effects are balanced through experimental design or
Statistical methods. Experiment I was our first attempt to master
these complexities.
Another source of confusion about distance and ESP has been
of the logical kind. The statement that ESP is related to distance
is 4 positive statement which needs a hard, empirical base to be
accepted. It may appear that the contrary statement, that there
is no distance effect, is less in need of proof, although of course
this is not so. All known physical energies follow the energy expan-
sion law which results in a decline in transmission over distance.
If the ESP energy (or whatever we call it) does not follow that law,
this will be an extraordinary break in the natural order. Prudence
demands that we accept such a break only on the basis of hard
evidence.
Is such hard evidence available ? Our survey of the experimental
literature published in English (21) found not a single experiment
which could justify that claim, nor was there such a trend in the
ee distance experiments as a group. On the contrary,
main trend was a decline. However, in our opinion the data
Were not good enough to enable us to accept or reject a distance
effect because the designs of the experiments did not meet the
objections raised by Rhine and others; they were not blind experi-
ments and subjective states were not accounted for.
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Belief among many psychologists that ESP is independent
of distance is so atioee then loeiiomand harder evidence for a
link between distance and ESP than for other findings. For example,
the objection has been raised that Ss could ascertain our expecta-
tions for the experiment by means of ESP and on this basis could
shape their attitudes and results. Exactly the same argument could
be applied to any other parameter of an ESP experiment.
Perhaps one reason for the resistance to the possibility of a
distance effect is the presumed metaphysical implications. We
have repeatedly been sehen whether the presence of a decline over
distance indicates that ESP is carried by a physical energy, and
whether the absence of such a decline indicates a non-physical
energy, or the spiritual nature of ESP. We feel that it is not necessary
to draw such conclusions from the presence or absence of a distance
effect. Dobbs {) proposed a physical theory of ESP where its
independence from space seemed to be incorporated. We know
that ESP is at home in this world and deals easily with objects
in space such as the cardboard and dyes of ESP cards. Indeed, the
energies carrying ESP might have some psychological properties,
and at the same time have relationships with the physical world.
It would be wrong to build theories of the ESP channel based only
on one of its properties, such as attenuation with distance. Theory
building requires encompassing all available pertinent data.
ESP Orientation
In a previous publication (24) we reviewed the literature on
experiments and taneous cases to determine the minimal
cues for ESP orientation. We found that ESP seems to
be able to locate a target person or objects in the target person’s
vicinity provided that cither of these four cues is given:
1. S is acquainted with the target person.
2. S has secondhand acquaintance with the target person; c.g.,
knows somebody who knows him.
3. S is familiar with the environment in proximity to the target
n.
4. S is given a psychometric (token) object; ic., a thing the
target person has been in contact with for some time.
Since this publication, we have thought further about the nature
of the psi process. There have been many speculations about it
in philosophical terms, but apparently they have had very little
impact on the actual progress of parapsychological research. More
research-oriented conceptualizations are . We will briefly
consider the three principal types of hypotheses on the workings
Qver Distance: Research on the ESP Channel — 249
SP, restating them in terms which we hope will make clearer
of their possible implications for research in general and the
nce | ts reported here in particular. For simplicity's
¢ we will consider clairvoyance only.
Bombardment hypothesis. S’s personality does not reach
its own skin to make contact with the en-
ent, but responds to incoming stimuli in much the same
to incoming sound or light waves in forming
ni in sensory perception, the object is supposed to be
i emitting psi signals, The channel is independent of S
d outside his organism; he is just the receptor of the stimuli.
; are several theories as to how this takes place; e.g., Vasiliev
that the stimuli are carried by gravitational waves (41).
Radar hypothesis. This is the direct opposite of the bombard-
hypothesis. S alone is active in the process, reaching out,
ng the object which is to be known, and bringing back
ormation. Examples of this kind of hypothesis are Rhine’s
of the “reach of the mind” (28) and the type of theory
: Rao (26). Here cach individual would have his own
analogy would be to a radar beam which reflects back
mation on the object to the radar station.
Network hypothesis, This places the emphasis on the activity
of the channel itself. It presupposes a transindividual information
system to which S simply has to establish contact through his own
to the “telephone central.” In prescientific times such a system
has been postulated. In the Upanishads it is called akasha, where
verything is registered and available to the yogins’ consciousness.
ome Christian theologians, ¢.g., Oesterreich (20), have called it
articipation in the omniscience of God." Modern speculative
ncorics have used very different terminology, ¢.g., Myers’ mete-
theric hypothesis (17), Murphy's clairvoyance (16),
il “elsewhere” theory (39), and Carington’s psychon theory
What bearing do these hypotheses have on ESP orientation
under the conditions of our distance experiments? All three ex-
periments have a clairvoyance design, in which Ss have psycho-
metric objects (index cards) from a person or persons who expose
the targets (picture postcards) in different locations around the
\ In experiments II and III, this person is the traveler (7).
Ss also have his photograph and a short personality and biographical
iption of him. The are randomized by 7 at the site
and p' face down in columns on the floor. Ss are given four
in which to get their impressions of the targets. 7’ makes no
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250 Journal of the American Society for Psychical Research
attempt to “send” the targets, but simply remains in the room with
them. He could not act as an agent even unintentionally, since he
would have no way of synchronizing his sending with the thirty
or forty Ss for that session who would be starting at different times
and working at different rates. And he had no cues about the Ss
which could orient his ESP to them.
It looks as though under these circumstances ESP as conceived
by the bombardment hypothesis would have no chance of coming
through. While this type of explanation of ESP might be feasible
ina ree experiment or in a clairvoyance test where S was
very near to the targets, it could not explain clairvoyant transmission
from a distance. If all persons and objects emit extrasensory stimuli
the problem of selection of the proper stimulus is immense, There
are three billion people alone from whom to select, and a far greater
number of animals and objects. Even if there were only a thousand
stimuli from which to choose, there would be considerable inter-
ference between them and “noise” in the information system.
Selection from billions of stimuli seems to be an impossible task
for clairvoyance,
If the radar hypothesis applied, we would expect Ss to scan the
area where the targets were expected to be found until the “radar
beam” happened to contact the target or target n, recognized
as such by the orientation cues. The likelihood of success in locating
the targets should depend upon the size of the scanning area. In
Experiment I, Ss were given the exact addresses of the places where
the targets would be exposed. If this information was usable, it
should have reduced the scanning task immensely, In Experiment
II, half of the Ss were given no information at all about where 7'
would be setting out the cards, The other half were given maps
where the direction of his travel was indicated by arrows; we
estimated that this would cut down the scanning area to one-third
of the 200,000,000 square miles of the earth's area. In Experiment
III we named the four cities where the targets would be exposed,
but did not give the addresses, If scanning, as implied in the radar
hypothesis, was necessary, then Ss in Experiment I would have
the test advantage, followed by the Ss in Experiment III, then
by Ss with the arrow cue in Experiment II and finally by those
without the arrow cue in that experiment.
As an analogy to the network hypothesis, we could use the
“addressing system’’ of a computer, where each “bit” of informa-
tion is so localized that it can be retrieved by a particular command.
Besides the command panel, there is a very complex system of
intermediate links and the memory bank which stores the bits of
information. Another analogy would be human memory. If the
S can by ESP establish his link with the network, the problem of
s P Over ver Distance: Research on the ESP Channel 251
rence from competing stimuli or bits of information should
ply. Cues on the geographical location of the targets may be
ble in the “addressing system,” but it is possible that the
metric object or information about 7 might be sufficient.
eae attenuation of ESP over distance in these experi-
has implications for the three hypotheses. Under the
bardment hypothesis we would expect no ESP transmission
all because of the enormous difficulty for S to select the proper
ulus. But if this problem were surmounted, we would expect
latively large decline over distance, comparable to the decline
snown physical energies. This is because the bombarding ESP
ali should be emitted from the targets in all directions, They
id be densest immediately around the targets, but should
me further and further separated from cach other as they
outward over great distances. Thus S would have a greater
ce of being reached by the ESP stimuli when he is close to the
ts than he would when far away.
‘e cannot predict with certainty the kind of distance effect that
d be expected from the radar and network hypotheses. There
be no distance effects at all. If there are any, they might be
cted to be greater for the radar hypothesis, which involves a
way se Thane S to target and back, than for the network
thesis. While it might ap that the network hypothesis is
npatible with a distance effect, there might be a slight decline
under this hypothesis if the ESP information has to pass through
extra “relay stations” when the target is further from the S.
Selective Field Interactions
_ Our third line of attack on the problem of the channel in these
experiments is the investigation of selective field interactions
between Ss and 7 and their effects on scoring. In Experiment I,
a different person sat with the targets in each location. Results
from location to location, even apart from the distance
ffects. For example, the high-scoring Ss scored significantly in
the negative direction on backward displacements in New York
and significantly in the positive direction on this measure in Los
We felt that these scoring differences might be due to the
‘ t personalities of the persons who sat with the targets.
‘These persons, and the T who replaced them in Experiments II
and III, made no attempts to reach or to send to the Ss. Ss had
been instructed simply to reach them via ESP and then to turn to
the target cards in the room.
It looks as though these Experiment I scoring patterns are in-
stances of the “experimenter effect” found by West and Fisk (42)
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252 Journal of the American Society for Psychical Research
in their correspondence test and by other researchers after them.
Apparently the ity of the experimenter can affect scoring.
Rosenthal (32) described such effects in psychology, where,
however, the effects appear to be due to communication between
S and experimenter on a sensory basis. In our distance experiments,
there were no opportunities for such contact except by extrasensory
means.
We hoped to avoid such effects by replacing the three persons
in the different locations with one T who would take the targets
around the world. Thinking that his transient emotional states
might relate to subject scoring in addition to any effects of his
stable personality characteristics, we asked him to rate his mood
for each ESP session. In what way could his mood affect the ESP
process ?
There are two main possibilities. One is that the effect could take
place in the ESP channel. In that case 7’s mood could affect scoring
by (a) changing the noise level, in a process analogous to jamming
a radio station; (b) affecting the signal ye 7 either by weakening
it (interference) or strengthening it (amplification); or (c) intro-
ducing systematic dispersion of the channel activity, resulting in
di ments.
e other possibility is that the effect takes place within S, who
has encountered T and his mood by ESP. S's internal information
processing might be affected in one of two ways: (a) The filters,
whose function it is to screen out irrelevant or iereateaitig stimuli,
might be opened if S finds T’s mood acceptable and closed if he
finds it unacceptable; or (5), “gating’’ of the responses to awareness
would largely favor peers» e contact is found acceptable,
and psi-missing or blocking (chance scoring) if the contact is found
unacceptable, A model and description of the filters and gating
processes has been given elsewhere (22).
Our present experimental design docs not permit us to make
definite choices among these possibilities, although it does measure
relevant S and channel characteristics at the same time. We might
expect that if the effect of 7’s mood is to shift scoring from psi-
hitting to psi-missing or vice versa, the effect takes place in S’s
internal processing of ESP. On the other hand, if it decreases
scoring in either direction on direct hits but increases scoring on
displacements, or if the amount, rather than the direction of scoring
varies with 7s mood, the effect is likely to be on the channel
activity.
Subjective Variables
The ESP scores we obtained in the experiments of course do
not only reflect what is happening in the channel, but also what
er Distance: Research on the ESP Channel 253
: happening in S. His mood, feelings, attitudes, etc., are likely to
the results. Certainly we cannot expect to learn much about
the channel when these are not accounted for in the experimental
ood has proved to be important when measured in different
in the experiments of Fisk and West (10), Woodruff and
(43), Nielsen (18), Niclsen and Freeman (19), Rogers (31),
Carpenter (3, 4). In Experiment I, we found that the dimen-
of relaxation versus tension and anxiety versus freedom from
: ty were related to S scoring. In other exploratory experiments
ye found that the dimensions of elation versus depression and
v versus tiredness were also relevant. Because of their theoret-
importance, we also measured S attitudes and other variables
ically related to the ESP task, such as attention or absorption,
ration time, and liking for the task. Included here is the igs
closeness felt to 7, a variable suggested as important by the work
erson and White with teacher-student relationships (1).
_ ‘The mood and task-related variables had to be measured for
each session, so that their effects could be separated from those of
distance. We also measured more stable S characteristics, such as
personality traits and previous ESP scoring, which Experiment |
or theoretical considerations indicated might relate to the results,
either on their own or in interaction with the mood variables.
All of these subjective variables, whether stable or transient, are
of considerable importance in themselves, in addition to their role
in these experiments of removing influences on Ppa yc might
contaminate the effects of the variables related to channel.
Tue Distance ExperiMeNTs
Experiments II and III followed basically the same design. The
targets were displayed in four locations: Now York City; Paris,
France; New Delhi, India; and Sydney, Australia. 7 in Experiment
II was Mr. Fred Rindge; the Experiment II] T was Dr. Walter
Houston Clark. Ss participated in their homes across the U.S.,
and the distances measured were between cach S’s home and the
exact target location. The largest group of Ss came from the New
York area. Paris is approximately 3,600 miles from New York,
New Delhi 7,300 miles and Sydney, 10,000 miles.
The route for each 7 was from New York through Paris and New
Delhi to Sydney; he then retraced it on the way back to New York.
He had one ESP session in each location en route to Sydney and
repeated each session for the return journey, for a total of eight
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254 Fournal of the American Society for Psychical Research
sessions per experiment. Each individual S, however, took part
in only four of these sessions, one in each location. This enabled
us to balance the order of the sessions in each location for the Ss,
so as to minimize the possibility that position or decline effects
and the effects of distance might be confounded. Ss were randomly
assigned to one or the other of the two sessions in each location,
so that some Ss began (and ended) the experiment at each location.
Although all Ss for a given session had the same target order, we
believe that the danger of a “stacking effect” is minimal with an N
of 800 targets per experiment.
Blind procedures were used: in neither experiment were Ss
informed where the targets were for any given session. The Ex-
iment II Ss did not even know what four locations were.
alf of them received world maps on which the outline of a broad
arrow was traced; this arrow through much of the United
States, western Europe, southwestern Asia, and Australia. The
other half received maps without the arrow. For Experiment III,
all Ss were given maps without arrows, but they were told which
cities would be the target locations.
The ESP Test
A card-guessing test was used, with five different types of nature
postcards as the targets. In Experiment II the postcards represented
a hummingbird, a collie, a horse and colt, roses, and a sailboat.
The Experiment III targets were: seagulls, a chipmunk, two dogs,
a hibiscus blossom, and an autumn maple tree. They were selected
to contrast with each other in color and form, and were pretested
for equal potency for positive scoring on direct hits. In each session,
Ss completed four runs of twenty-five trials each.
T randomized the targets for each session at the place where the
targets would be displayed, using a random number book and a
“closed deck” technique (equal numbers of each type of target
in each run).* We did not prepare the random orders in advance
in New York in order to eliminate the possibility that Ss might
precognize the target orders from New York, instead of getting
their impressions from the target location. This would blur any
effects of distance on scoring. For the same reason, the S’s ESP re-
cord sheets for each session were sent for scoring to a place near
the target location for that session. Only the score for cach run,
and nothing which would identify the target order, was returned
to us in New York. Target orders were retained at the places where
they were scored.
* The randomization procedure may be obtained from the authors upon request.
SP Over Distance: Research on the ESP Channel 255
ter obtaining the random order, the T placed the 100 postcards
down in four colums on the floor of his hotel room. At the
ad of each column was a sign marked “Top” which also gave
¢ run number, from one to four. At the top center was placed a
reading “A.S.P.R. Experiment.” 7 remained with the cards
four hours, during which he went about his business. Ss could
sin the session at any time during the four hours. The hours were
s the same for Ss (7:00 to 11:00 p.m., E.S.T.), so in Paris and
New Delhi 7 sat with the cards at night.
In order to provide psychological closeness, Ss were given
shotographs of 7 and a short personality and biographical sketch
in glowing terms. They were also given four index cards,
ed from one to four, corresponding to the four columns
yet cards. T had carried the index cards around for some time.
_Ss were instructed to hold the card numbered “one"’ while aiming
for the first column, etc.
al d in their membership questionnaire replies to take part
‘in research. Participants in Experiment I had been selected through
a preliminary test, which is described in the report on this experi-
‘ment (24). This preliminary test was designed to approximate in
_ stages the conditions of the distance experiment itself. These Ss
were invited to take part in Experiment II, and most did so. ‘The
same preliminary test was also used to screen members who had
volunteered for research in the intervening year. Those whose
‘scores on direct hits or forward and backward displacements were
at least six above or ten below chance expectation were also invited
to join the experiment. A total of fifty-seven persons completed
iment II.
roximately two-thirds of these Ss—those who showed the
t variance in their scoring—were invited to participate in
Ber ncet TIT, Another preliminary test was apres to new A.S.P.R.
members who were interested in research. Those who had scored
at least seven above or below chance on hits or displacements were
also invited, Altogether, seventy persons completed Experiment III.
Subjective Factors
We tried to keep the tone of the instructions to Ss as encouraging
as ible. As in Experiment I, we sent Orientation Sheets for
session, which were designed to keep up Ss’ interest and
confidence. We also corresponded personally with them, responding
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256 Fournal of the American Society for Psychical Research
to their comments ‘on the Observation Sheets (to be described),
They were invited to call us collect if anything was not clear. Ss
in Experiment II were given copies of Louisa Rhine's Hidden
Channels of the Mind in appreciation of their help. The Experiment
lil Ss had their choice of one of two books by Rosalind Heywood:
ESP, A Personal Memoir, or Beyond the Reach of Sense.
The importance of “tuning in” or preparing oneself for the
ESP sessions was stressed in the instructions (see 24, p. 45). Ss
were encouraged to use whatever methods appealed to them or
which they had found effective in the past in lifting their minds
from everyday concerns, A relaxed body and alert mind were
recommended, For Experiment ITI, we sent Ss paperback editions
of Steichen’s photographic exhibit The Family of Man, suggesting
that they could focus on any of the photographs in their preparation.
After each session, Ss completed Observation Sheets, which
were intended to assess their subjective states during the ESP
session. (The Observation Sheet for Experiment II] is given in
Appendix I.) Ss were first asked about their preparation. Then
they filled out nine-point psychological scales, which measured
task-related variables (Scales |, 2, 3, 5, 9, and 10), and mood
variables (Scales 4, 6, 7, and 8). A check on the extreme “positive”
end of each scale was scored as “9” and a check on the extreme
“negative” end was scored as “1.” Scales 9 and 10 were introduced
in iment III; otherwise the Observation Sheets were the
same for both experiments, Finally, the Observation Sheets asked
if anything unusually disturbing or particularly had happened
recently. The mood ratings were included in the analysis in their
iginal state and a second time under a quadratic transformation
which enabled us to measure possible curvilinear effects of mood.
Mr. Rindge, 7' in Experiment II, kept a diary of his feelings
during the sessions. On is return, we asked him to use this diary
in rating his mood for each session on a single nine-point scale.
K.O. and a co-worker, M. Nester, also rated 7’s mood for each
session on the same scale, using his diary report. The average of
their three ratings was assigned as his mood score for a given session.
For Experiment III, Dr. Clark completed after each session the
same four mood scales used by Ss. We were then able to measure
oneguag effects between S and T ratings on each of the four
es.
The Observation Sheets measured S characteristics which would
be expected to vary from session to session. We also felt that certain
more enduring personality patterns might be related to scoring in
a distance ESP experiment. The Rosenzweig Picture-Frustration
Study (RPFS), a measure of habitual reactions to frustration (33),
was given in Experiment II. Three scoring categories of this test
2 Over Distance: Research on the ESP Channel 257
were used: Obstacle Dominance, which measures concern with
strating obstacles; the GCR, which measures group conformity ;
‘and Intropunitive Need Persistance, a measure of readiness to
resolve frustrating situations by one’s own action.
yt 2 both Experiments II and III, the Eysenck Personality In-
-yentory (EPI), Form A, was given (8). This measures the degree
of introversion or extraversion: orientation toward the inner world
or to the world around one, It also gives a measure of the degree
of neuroticism, a quality which does not correlate with introversion/
extraversion. Eysenck (7) has found that extraverts and introverts
have different optimal arousal levels for performance, and suggested
i. this might also be true for ESP achievement. We therefore
jncluded in the analysis the interactions between each S’s Extra-
i
_yersion score and his score on two mood scales which we thought
would measure arousal: the Elation and Vitality scales.
Measures of each S’s previous scoring on hits and forward and
‘backward displacements were also included in both experiments
‘together with a measure which categorized S by his previous
_ scoring on hits and by whether or not he had participated in the
previous experiment, In Experiment III we introduced a new
( ionnaire which was completed by S after the experiment. It
fctuded two nine-point scales measuring the degree of his liking
the experiment and for the 7. It also included our adaptation
of the Time Metaphor Test (11).*
Finally, four measures of possible position effects were used in
these experiments. These included the number of the session itself,
the session number for the S, whether the session was the first
or the second in the location, and the run number.
Metuops or EvALUATION
Stepwise Multiple Regression Analysis
Data from the two experiments were analyzed separately. The
principal statistical procedure used was stepwise multiple regression
analysis (SMRA). This complex procedure, which deals with all
of the variables simultaneously, is described by Morrison (13). A
full discussion of SMRA is also given in the report on Experiment I
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258 Journal of the American Society for Psychical Research
24, pp. 22-24). Briefly, the computer takes each of the dependent
a variables separately. The independent (non-ESP) predictor
variables enter the analysis one by one (in steps) in order of the
strength of their relationship with the dependent variable. Each
entering independent variable is adjusted to climinate any overlap
in its association with ESP with the association of the previously
entered independent variables. The procedure can be adjusted to
it all of a designated group of independent variables to enter
ore allowing any of the rest of the independent variables to enter.
We wished all of the variables whose effects might be confounded
with those of distance to enter the analysis re distance. The
only variables which could be so confounded were those that, like
distance, changed once per session: S and 7 moods, position
effects (except run number) and the task-related variables. All of
these variables entered the analysis before distance and the rest
of the variables were permitted to enter. Thus, the relation of
distance and these other variables to ESP was adjusted to eliminate
overlap with the relationship to ESP of the variables entered first.*
ESP or Dependent Variables
In Experiment I, we wished to use a “wide net’ for catching
any ESP effects which might appear in our data. In ESP tests which
are perceived to be difficult, such as some earlier distance ex-
periments, ESP tends to be displaced or turned into psi-missing.
Our concept of ESP as it related to such measures is of one infor-
mation flow which becomes differentiated into psi-hitting, psi-
missing, displacements, etc., by the gating function of S’s internal
information processing system. Experiment I used four different
combinations of psi-hitting and psi-missing for each of these ESP
measures: direct hits, forward aplacaenanhs, and backward dis-
lacements.* In Experiments II and III, we used instead the
ollowing six basic ESP measures:
(1) Psi-missing, direct hits.
(2) Psi-hitting, direct hits.
; ” rae sae ;
PA eter ree us to ethan the aprengrrs f a multivariate Cueeenees,
Ths RAP quate bc eters designed by Foster (29, 419-420). They gave
results 6 these ebesined Gy coe paktitting wad i eter ibe
alone for each measure, so they were epg cea ah ioe ngs 8
presentation, results with these additional measures in iment I will not be
Teported, except for results with the distance variable, GRuie tench okeaperiee
with Experiment I are important.
ESP Over Distance: Research on the ESP Channel 259
3) Psi-missing, backward displacements.
4) Psi-hitting, backward displacements.
Psi-missing, forward displacements.
6) Psi-hitting, forward displacements.
The scoring unit is the run. Psi-hitting and psi-missing are
_ separated in the following way: the scoring deviation for each run
in the positive direction 1s the psi-hitting score for that run, and
the scoring deviation for that same run in the negative direction
is the psi-missing score. For example, a run with six direct hits
would be scored “|” for psi-hitting and “0” for psi-missing on
direct hits. A run with three direct hits would be scored ‘‘0"’ for
-psi-hitting and “2” for psi-missing on direct hits.
Non-ESP or Independent Variables
The independent variables in these experiments are all factors
we have measured which may influence the ESP results. They are
listed below by categories.
Distance variable:
(1) Actual distance in miles between cach S’s home and each
target location.
ESP orientation variable :
(2) Directional cue (Experiment II only), Whether or not S
was given the arrow cuc to 7”s route.
3) Whether the session was the first or second in the location.
4) Number of the session (1-8).
Number of the session for S (1-4).
(6) Number of the run in the session (1-4).
(7) Mood (Experiment II only).
8) Relaxation (Experiment III only).
9) Elation (Experiment III only).
a Vitality (Experiment III only).
11) Freedom from anxiety (Experiment III only).
S mood variables :
12) Relaxation.
13) Elation.
14) Vitality.
15) Freedom from anxiety.
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260 Fournal of the American Society for Psychical Research
S task-related variables :
(16) Number of minutes spent preparing for the session.
(17) Feeling of preparedness.
(18) Ease of task.
(19) Feeling of closeness to 7' and cards.
(20) Absorption.
(21) Feeling about task (Experiment III only).
(22) Motivation to score (Experiment III only).
Stable S characteristics:
(23) EPI extraversion score.
(24) EPI neuroticism score.
(25) RPFS obstacle dominance score (Experiment II only).
(26) RPFS group conformity ratio (Experiment II only).
(27) _ aoe persistence (intropunitive) score (Experiment
only).
(28) Number of direct hits in pretest or New York session of
revious experiment.
(29) Number of d displacements in pretest or New York
session of rdecar experiment.
(30) Number of forward displacements in pretest or New York
session of previous experiment.
(31) S group; four categories: old Ss, previous scoring (#£28
above) positive; old Ss, previous scoring negative; new Ss,
previous scoring positive; and new Ss, previous scoring
negative.
(32) Feeling about experiment (Experiment III only).
(33) Feeling about 7 (Experiment III only).
34) eg ¢etaphor score (Experiment ITI only).
35) Sex.
We also used variables derived from those listed above.* All of
these derivatives are mood variables:
(36) S elation/extraversion interaction,
(37) S vitality/extraversion interaction.
(38) S relaxation, curvilinear (Experiment III and one of two
SMRA’s in Experiment II).
ESP Over Distance: Research on the ESP Channel 261
_ (39) S elation, curvilinear (Experiment Lil and one of two
SMRA’s in Experiment II).
(40) S vitality, curvilinear (Experiment III and one of two
be. SMRA’s in Experiment II).
(41) S freedom from anxiety, curvilinear (Experiment III and
‘ one of two SMRA's in Experiment II).
(42) Relaxation, S/T interaction ( iment III only).
43) Elation, S/T interaction (Experiment III only).
44) Vitality, S/T interaction (Experiment III only).
45 gaa from anxiety, S/7' interaction (Experiment III
only).
Thus, in Experiment II we had twenty-six original independent
variables, and two derived variables in one analysis and six in
another, for totals of twenty-eight and thirty-two, In Experiment
TH, there were thirty original and ten derived independent variables,
for a total of forty.
Canonical Correlation
iment I showed the value of using a “wide net” of many
dependent variables to catch ESP effects. It was the dis t
‘measures in that experiment which related to distance, Neverthe-
less, it is difficult to get a unified picture of the experimental
results with so many intercorrelated ESP variables. We decided to
use the method of canonical correlation in the next two experiments
to condense the ESP effects into fewer measures. Canonical corre-
lation is described by Morrison (13), and a fuller discussion of the
oaagee for combining ESP measures is given by Turner and
is (38).
Canonical correlation takes all of the six ESP variables and
relates them to all of the (original) independent variables, in order
to find the weighted combinations of ESP variables that have the
greatest association with the independent variables. The weights
may have positive or negative signs. Six new canonical ESP variables
are produced. The first canonical ESP variable is composed of the
original ESP variables in proportions which give the maximum
association with the independent variables. The second canonical
ESP variable starts with the residuals of the association with the
independent variables and combines the original ESP variables in
such proportion as to account for the greatest ible share of
this residual association. The third canonical ESP variable does
the same with the residual association not accounted for by the
first two canonical ESP variables, and so on. In both experiments,
it was found that the first four canonical ESP variables had many
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262 Journal of the American Society for Psychical Research
significant relationships with particular independent variables, and
that the last two were relatively unrelated.
Data from the two experiments were analyzed rately,
SMRA’s were performed using the canonical ESP variables and
then using the original ESP variables. A special procedure, using
successive canonical analyses, was used for the distance variable
and will be described in detail in the section on distance effects.
Resu.ts
The analysis and presentation of our results must necessarily
follow the experimental design: a multivariable approach measuring
variables in seven problem areas simultaneously. The more simple
single variable methods are not applicable because they cannot
segregate the effects of different variables which may be confounded
with one another. The results of such a complex experiment can
be adequately described only by multivariable statistics. We will
try to simplify the findings in each section and refer the reader
for the necessary details to the tables. We will also try to keep the
presentation at a level that a person not trained in statistics can
follow with ease.
First we will give an overview of the relative strengths of asso-
ciation with ESP of the different types of independent variables.
For this we will use the SMRA of the canonical ESP variables.
Then we will report the results of other evaluations of the different
categories of independent variables in the following order:
(1) Distance effects.
(2) Effects pertinent to the ESP orientation system.
(3) Position effects.
(4) Effects of 7’s mood.
(5) S moods and mood interactions.
(6) Task-related variables.
(7) Personality and previous scoring variables.
Within each section hierarchical levels of analysis will be pre-
sented. We will start with the most general anal those using
the canonical variables, to get the overall effect. Then we will turn
to the SMRA of psi-hitting and psi-missing on direct hits and
displacements to learn the direction and source of the effects.
SMRA of the Canonical ESP Variables
The total ESP deviations for Experiments II and III were not
igni However, there were many associations between the
independent variables and the ESP measures. Table | shows the
ESP Over Distance: Research on the ESP Channel 263
Table 1
‘Srerwise Muvtirie Recression ANALYsis or THE CanonicaL ESP VaRrianies
Sioniricant F Ratios
13.5****
Tse
4.2°
Session Number
T Mood*
T Relaxation” 14.8°***
9.0"**
T Elation® 6.0**
44°
T Vitality® 5.6°*
T Freedom from Anxicty® 1.4e***
S Relaxation 19,0°***
Elation 44°
S Vitality 71"**
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264 Fournal of the American Society for Psychical Research
Table | (continued)
*P = 0S, **P = 025. °°°P = 0). °°°*P = .00).
*Experiment H only. "Experiment III only.
relative strength of association of the different groups of indepen-
dent variables (and single variables within the group) with ESP
expressed as the canonical variables. The effect of distance in
Experiment II was the strongest single effect. There was no distance
effect in Experiment III, so out of our three experiments, two
showed distance effects and one did not. Position effects, such as
that of session order, were significant in all three experiments.
These have been earmarks of ESP since the early days of scientific
pacepeycomey (30).
’s mood was very strongly associated with ESP in both Ex-
periments II and III. (It was not measured in Experiment I.) Here
again we have consistency. The moods of Ss were associated with
ESP in all three experiments, one of our strongest and most reliable
effects. The dimensions of Relaxation and Freedom from Anxiety
were especially important. The task-related variables, with the
exception of the Absorption scale, gave fewer effects with less
consistency from experiment to experiment. The personality and
ESP pretest variables were also less effective, as were the variables
derived from the original mood scales. So we have four categories
of independent variables which have consistently related to various
measures of ESP over two or more experiments: distance, position
effects, the T mood, and S mood.
Distance Effects
In Experiment I, there were significant deviations on our dis-
a measures for the two United States locations,
ut not for the Tasmania location, In Experiments IT and III the
ESP Over Distance: Research on the ESP Channel 265
deviations from chance for the different target locations are rela-
tively small and do not present such an orderly pattern. However,
these deviations for the locations are by no means our principal
measure of the distance effect. They represent a hopeless con-
founding of many subjective and objective variables, which can
be disentangled through multivariable statistics.
Table 1 shows that for Experiment II distance was very signifi-
cantly related to the second canonical ESP variable and was also
related to the third canonical variable. There were no distance
effects in Experiment III. Because of our special interest in the
distance problem, we wished to make a further analysis of the
distance effects in Experiment II. So we computed a new set of
six canonical ESP variables, entering all of the independent variables
which changed from session to session except distance (and the
curvilinear components of the S Relaxation and Elation scales,
which bore no relation to ESP in the earlier analysis). Essentially,
this is the same procedure which yielded the canonical ESP vari-
ables in Table 1, except that only these eighteen selected indepen-
dent variables are included. This analysis produced not only the
six canonical ESP variables, but also canonical correlation coeffi-
cients, which expressed the relation of all of the independent
variables taken together with each of the canonical ESP variables.
Column 2 of Table 2 gives these canonical correlation coefficients.
Next we computed a new set of canonical ESP variables, including
Table 2
CanonicaL Conne.ation Cosrricrents in Successive ANALYSIS
in the analysis the eighteen independent variables just used, and
also the distance variable. Again, this gives us canonical correlation
coefficients for each of the canonical ESP variables, expressing the
new relationship between all of the independent variables used
and the canonical ESP variables. The significance of the increase
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266 Journal of the American Society for Psychical Research
in the canonical correlation coefficients when distance is added
(the increase from columns 2 to 3) can be measured by an appro-
priate chi-square test. The increment in the coefficient of the
second canonical variable was highly significant (P = .002). The
coefficient of the third canonical variable also increased signifi-
cantly (P = .04). This confirms the effect shown in the SMRA
of the canonical ESP variables. In addition, the P values for these
chi squares are marginal P values; i.e, they represent the actual
probability of such effects occurring by chance alone. It may be
noted that these P values are close to those given by the F ratios
for the same variables in Table |.
In the last column of Table 2 we have the canonical correlation
coefficients of the six canonical ESP variables which were computed
in a new analysis using the eighteen original independent variables,
distance, and distance squared. We had measured distance from
point to point around the surface of the globe. Squaring this gives
a rough proportional approximation of the distance between the
same points measured directly through’ the earth. In no case were
the increments in the canonical coefficients significant after distance
— is added. Apparently the quadratic (curvilinear) component
of decline was very small in Experiment II.
The questions remain: does scoring increase or decline with
distance ? Which of the original ESP measures are affected ? Table 3
Table 3
Distance AND Posrrion VAnIAnLes
Stepwise Muutiece Recuession ANALysis or THE Onicinat. ESP Vanrtanies
Sicnmicant F Ratios
*P=.05. **P = .025. °**P = .01, *°°*P = .O01.
* A formula for converting circumferential distance into distance through the
earth may be obtained from the authors on request.
ESP Over Distance: Research on the ESP Channel 267
shows two significant F ratios for the distance variable in Ex-
periment II.* There is a highly significant decline with distance
in pe eens on forward displacements, and a smaller incline
with distance on psi-missing on backward displacements. Ex-
ment I produced two significant relationships with distance,
th expressing declines. Both were in forward displacement
measures; an F ratio of — 5.3 (P = .02) for the absolute number
of forward displacements, and an F ratio of — 4.1 (P = .05) for
the ESP quotient. As explained earlier, we ee SMRA's
with the Experiment II data on nine of the measures used in
the first experiment, as well as with the psi-hitting and psi-missing
data reported in the tables. There was only one measure which was
significantly affected by distance in both Experiment I and Ex-
periment II: the ESP quotient of forward displacements. In Ex-
periment II, this measure declined with distance, with an F ratio
of — 10.1 (P = .002). Figure 1 gives the regression lines of the
ESP quotients for the two experiments, showing the decline in
scoring on this measure over increasing distance.
-
eee
mec PE,
—— Experiment I
----~ Experiment II
ESP Deviations in Units of ESP Quotient
1 2 3 a 5 6 7 8 9 10
Distance in Thousands of Miles
Fig. 1. Regression of the distance variable and the ESP quotient of forward
displacements,
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268 Journal of the American Society for Psychical Research
There are two further ESP measures which were significantly
affected by distance in Experiment I, but not in Experiment I.
The absolute number of backward displacement hits declined
(F = — 5.0, P = .02), as did the deviations without regard to sign
on forward displacements (F = — 5.8, P = .02). Thus, six out
of the seven ESP measures which were significantly related to
distance in the two experiments showed a decline with increasing
distance, and one an incline. Unlike the canonical ESP variables,
these measures are intercorrelated. It appears likely that one
positive relationship, psi-missing on backward displacements, was
an artifact of the stronger negative relationship between distance
and psi-missing on forward displacements. These two ESP mea-
sures correlate — .14 (n = 912). Of course the other measures in
Experiment II which decline with distance are also correlated, but
positively, with psi-missing on forward displacements. ;
The average change in each scoring unit per 1,000 miles was:
Experiment I: absolute number of forward displacements de-
ined .04. :
q Experiment I: ESP quotient for forward displacements declined
1.7. , f
Experiment II: psi-missing on forward displacements declined
T ixcadiaenl II: ESP quotient for forward displacements declined
oa Il: deviations on forward displacements regardless
% sericsessar Tis palvctiesing on backward displacements inclined
Ge II: absolute number of backward displacements
declined .05.
It should be noted that the units of ESP quotient are smaller,
which accounts for the relatively greater decline per unit on this
measure,
Effects Pertinent to the ESP Orientation System
¢ hypothesis that Ss use scanning to locate the targets was
eed mi periment II by giving half of the Ss a directional cue
to T’s route (an arrow on their world maps) and half no cue. None
of the canonical or the original ESP variables were related to this
directional cue in the SMRA’s. ; j
The amount of information given to Ss about 7’s possible
locations was also varied from experiment to experiment. Ss were
given the exact addresses in Experiment I, no information or only
ESP Over Distance: Research on the ESP Channel 269
the arrow in Experiment II, and the names of the four cities in
Experiment III. Were the results in any way proportional to the
scanning areas?
It is very difficult to compare the overall results across experi-
ments when somewhat different designs and evaluations have been
introduced. Experiments II and II] were the most similar, Perha
our best indication of ESP effectiveness in the experiments is the
strength of association between ESP measures and the more im-
portant independent variables. There was roughly the same
strength of association between S moods in Experiments II and III
and also in the two mood scales which were used in Experiment I.
T’s mood, measured in the last two experiments, also seemed to
have the same strength of effect. There were strong position
effects in all three experiments. Overall comparisons between the
three experiments show small variations in the proportion of
significant associations, etc., but nothing at all proportionate to
the differences in scanning areas. It appears that information given
to Ss about the location of the target is not of central importance
to their ability to locate the targets.
Position Effects
In Experiment I, we had two measures of possible position
effects on ESP scoring. One was the number, from one to four,
of the session for each S. This produced significant declines on
two measures of direct hits: the deviations without sign (F = — 16.6,
P = .0001), and the ESP quotient (F = — 11.5, P 001). The
other measure of position effects was the number of each run in
the session, which produced no significant F ratios. These mea-
sures were also used in the two following experiments. The SMRA
for the canonical ESP variables showed that the S session number
was associated with high F ratios in both Experiments II and III,
while there were no significant effects for the number of the run
within the session. Table 3 shows that the effects of the S session
number in Experiment III were concentrated in backward dis-
placements. There was a decline in psi-hitting and a smaller in-
crease in psi-missing.
In Experiments II and EI, each S was randomly assigned to
four of the cight sessions so that one session might be the first
for one S, the second for another, etc. In these two experiments
the target location, and thus the distance, varied from session to
session (rather than from run to run within the session, as in
Experiment I). It was therefore most important to measure ade-
quately position effects related to the session. In Experiments II
and III we added two measures which are related more to the order
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270 Journal of the American Society for Psychical Research
of the session for T than for Ss. One is the order of the session
in its location: whether this session is on the initial or return trip.
This was significantly related to three of the canonical ESP vari-
ables in Experiment II (Table 1), but to none in Experiment Ill.
Table 3 shows that in Experiment II this measure was associated
with a highly significant decline in psi-missing on direct hits, with
a concomitant increase in psi-hitting. The other new measure of
position effects was the number of the session itself, from one to
eight. This related to the canonical ESP variables in both experi-
ments. The SMRA for the original ESP variables gives one signifi-
cant F ratio for the session number in each experiment: both are
negative (decline) effects. Apparently we add useful information
when, in addition to measuring position effects in the usual way
(S session number), we include these new measures.
Effects of T’s Mood
T’s mood was measured by one scale in Experiment II and four
mood scales in Experiment III, Our main analysis, the SMRA with
canonical ESP variables, showed a strong influence of T’s mood
in both experiments (‘Table 1), Although these mood ratings varied
more from session to session in ExperimentII than in ExperimentIII,
the effect of this variation was somewhat stronger in Experiment III.
The Relaxation scale was particularly important, producing
an F ratio of 14.8, one of the largest in the whole experiment.
Freedom from Anxiety appeared to be the second strongest mood
component; Elation and Vitality being slightly, but noticeably
related to ESP. Although 7’s mood strongly influenced the clair-
vyoyant activity of Ss, the interaction (degree of overlap) between
his moods and theirs was not important. This was measured in
Experiment III and resulted in only one barely significant F ratio
ith the canonical ESP variables: this was for the interaction on
the Elation scales.
Table 4 shows the relationships between 7’s mood and the
original ESP variables. In Experiment II the significant effect was
concentrated in a strong positive relationship with psi-missing on
backward displacements. In Experiment III Elation is positively,
and Freedom from Anxiety negatively, related to the same ESP
measure. In addition, there is a more straightforward association
with direct hits, with Relaxation related negatively to psi-missing
and Elation related positively to psi-hitting. Our overall impression
is that these mood effects are quite noticeable and strong in relation
to the whole information flow of ESP as indicated by the canonical
ESP variables. But they are related to the individual ESP measures
in a complex manner which we do not as yet fully understand.
ESP Over Distance: Research on the ESP Channel 271
Table 4
Travecen Moop Vantanies
Srerwise Muctirte Recression ANALYsis oF THE OnicinaL ESP Vaniantes
Sioniricant F Ratios
Variable and
iment
P= .05. **P = .025. ***P = 01. ****P = .001.
*Experiment Il only. “Experiment III only.
We had two occasions (unplanned) to observe strong effects of
T’s mood on small samples of data from Beperuneot 11, In the
first session, T had allowed too little time for randomization of
the targets, and barely made the deadline for setting them out. He
felt quite upset, and registered this accordingly on the mood scales.
After an hour he had calmed down, and he then registered his new
mood. The five Ss who did the ESP test during the first hour had
total deviations of — 21 (CR = 2,34, P = .02). The rest of the Ss
for that session, who worked during his calm mood, produced an
insignificant positive deviation of + 3. The second accident
occurred in India, when 7 overslept, after setting out the targets
in advance. Upon awakening he was initially upset and registered
a negative mood, but he then calmed down and recorded a better
mood. The nine Ss who worked during his sleep produced sug-
gestive negative scoring (deviation — 23, CR = 1.92, P = 06).
Only two Ss worked during his negative mood; they produced an
insignificant negative deviation (— 1). Ss who worked during his
— mood produced a deviation of — 19, also insignificant.
ese results suggest that if 7’s mood is strongly affected, the
effect on Ss’ scoring is strong and uncomplicated, i.e., producing
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272 Yournal of the American Society for Psychical Research
psi-missing on direct hits. Of course, these are unanticipated
results and should be interpreted with great caution. The negative
scores produced during 7's sleep surprised us because we assumed
that his mood then was neutral.’ The saying goes: “Who sleeps
sins not.’ But per there was some subconscious awareness
that he was missing his duty, producing an effect like that of a
negative mood on S scoring.
S Moods and Mood Interactions
S moods were measured the same way in both experiments. The
SMRA of the canonical ESP variables (Table 1) shows significant
effects for all four mood scales in both experiments. Relaxation
gives the strongest effects. 7’s Relaxation scores had also affected
Ss’ clairvoyance scoring more than the other mood components.
Apparently we are dealing here with a strong perennial variable
which has been suggested from the beginnings of psychical re-
search (and which also gave results in Experiment 1). Freedom
from Anxiety is more important in Experiment Il than in Ex-
periment III, where Vitality is stronger.
Table 5 shows again the importance of the S mood variables.
Here, too, we have great variations among different measures. The
exception is the relationship between R tion and forward dis-
placements, which is the same in both experiments: positive with
psi-missing and negative with psi-hitting. In Experiment I the
absolute number of forward displacements related positively to
the Relaxation scale (F = 6.7, P = .01) and negatively to the
Freedom from Anxiety scale (F = — 6.0, P = .02). We believe
that the data indicate the importance of S mood variables to the
basic ESP process, although there is little stability in its relation
to the Lore gttigos
We explored the possibility of curvilinear relationships between
§ mood and ESP in the SMRA for the canonical ESP variables
in both experiments. Table | shows that these relationships are
very few and are much weaker than the linear relationships with
the same mood scales, with the possible exception of the Elation
scale in Experiment III. In the SMRA with the original ESP
variables, the curvilinear relationships with the S moods were
included only for Experiment III. Table 5 shows only one relation-
ship, with the Elation scale, which is not strong and could likely
be caused by chance.
The interaction between S Vitality and Extraversion related to
ESP in both experiments in the SMRA of the canonical ESP
* To be on the safe side in coding the data, we assigned to Ss who worked during
his sleep the average mood ratings for T over the entire
ESP Over Distance: Research on the ESP Channel 273
Table $
Sunjecr Moop Vartasiss
Stepwise Mutipce Recassston ANALYsis of THE Ont
SI > hee iGINAL ESP VaRiasies
*P = 0S. °*P = 025. ***P = 01. ****P = 001.
*Experiment LI only.
variables, while the Elation/Extraversion interaction produced an
effect only in Experiment Ill. In Table 5, we see hat the Vitality/
Extraversion interaction relates to backward displacements in
Experiment III in a way consistent with Eysenck's hypothesis that
extraverts perform better under greater arousal: it increases psi-
hitting and decreases psi-missing. The Elation/Extraversion inter-
action increases psi-missing on backward displacements in Ex-
periment III, Our impression is that these interaction effects are
real, but comparatively slight.
Task-Related Variables
In both Experiments II and III, the Observation Sheets con-
tained the same five measures related to the ESP task. Two addi-
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274 Fournal of the American Society for Psychical Research
tional task-related scales were used in Experiment III. The SMRA
with the canonical ESP variables showed the strongest association
in both experiments between the Absorption scale (attention to
the task) and ESP. The amount of time spent preparing for the
experiment was associated with ESP in Experiment III but not in
Experiment II, despite the fact that Ss spent slightly more time
on the average preparing for Experiment IT (30 minutes) than for
Experiment II] (28 minutes). Ss’ feelings of being prepared or
unprepared for the experiment also related to ESP in Experiment
III but not in Experiment II; the same is true for Ss’ feeling of
the ease or difficulty of the ESP task, which was strongly related
in Experiment III, and for Ss’ feelings of closeness or lack of
closeness to 7' and his pictures. The scale for Feeling about Task,
measuring the degree of enjoyment or irritation with it, was intro-
duced in Experiment II] and also showed some relation to the
canonical ESP variables. The other new scale, measuring motivation
to score well, did not relate. Perhaps we asked our question too
bluntly.
We do not know why the task-related variables affected scoring
in Experiment II] and not in Experiment II. ‘The most obvious
difference between the two experiments is the different person-
alities of the 7's. Table 6 shows the same difference between the
experiments, with no clear trend in the gating of the ESP measures.
Even the Absorption scale gives different results from one ex-
iment to another.
The Ease of Task scale was introduced in Experiment I as a
check on the possibility that Ss might become aware through ESP
of the distance between themselves and the targets, and that they
might react to that awareness by feeling that the more distant
psa Se were more difficult to reach. If that were true, and this
feeling of difficulty affected scoring, the result would be confounded
with the results of distance itself. In Experiment I the Ease of Task
variable did not correlate significantly with distance. However,
Experiments II and III produced identical significant correlations
between distance and Ease of Task: — .12(P = .05). Ss apparently
felt the task to be more difficult with increasing distance. In Ex-
periment II there was a significant relationship between ESP and
distance, but not between ESP and Ease of Task. In Experiment It,
Ease of Task but not distance is related to ESP scoring.
Personality and Previous Scoring
Eysenck’s Personality Inventory (8) was used for both experi-
ments. In Table 1, we see that the Extraversion scale, and to a
lesser degree the Neuroticism scale are associated with canonical
ESP Over Distance: Research on the ESP Channel 275
Table 6
‘Task-ReLatep VanIAn.es
Srerwise Muctipce Recression ANALYSIS OF THE OnicinaL ESP VARIABLES
Sianwicant F Ratios
iment IIL
tales shone
Task
Experiment III
"P= .05. **P = .025. ***P =.01. ****P = O01.
*Experiment III only.
ESP variables in Experiment III. Neither relate to scoring in Ex-
periment IT. It ag te that Extraversion is the more important
of the two scales for ESP scoring. The interaction between the
Extraversion scores and the S mood variables measuring arousal,
especially the Vitality scale, affected scoring about as much as did
the Extraversion scale alone. Table 7 shows that the effect of the
Extraversion scale in Experiment III was to increase psi-hitting
in forward displacements.
The Obstacle Dominance scale of the Rosenzweig Picture-
Frustration Study (33) was important to scoring in the Osis-Fahler
distance experiment (23), It produced one slight positive regression,
with an F ratio of 4.1 with the » for backward displacements in
Experiment I. The Group Conformity Ratio produced no signifi-
cant results in Experiment I, but the Intropunitive Need Persistence
scale was related to the ESP quotient of forward displacements
(F = 6.9, P = .01), None of these scales from the Picture-Frustra-
tion Study related significantly to ESP scoring in Experiment II,
$o it was dropped from Experiment III.
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276 Journal of the American Society for Psychical Research
Table 7
PERSONALITY AND Pxevious Scone
Srerwisk Muutipte Recression ANALYsIs OF THR Onoinat ESP VaRiasies
Stonticant F Ratios
*P = .05. **P = .025. ***P = 0). °***P = .00l.
Our greatly shortened version of the Time Metaphor test (11),
introduced in a pea III, produced one significant relationship
with a canonical variable (Table 1) and a slight positive effect
on psi-missing for forward displacements. S sex related to one
canonical variable in Experiment II but not in Experiment III; it
had no significant effects on the original ESP variables in either
experiment, so we do not know whether it was men or women
who scored better on that canonical ESP variable. It looks as though
S sex is in any case not an important variable. It did produce
three a F ratios in Experiment I, two indicating better
scoring by men, and one by women. |
Our two measures of the feeling of Ss about the experiment
and about 7, introduced in Experiment III, apparently did not
affect ESP scoring. Neither related to the canonical ESP variables.
Feeling about T was, however, associated with an increase in psi-
missing on backward displacements (Table 7).
Effects of Alcohol
The Observation Sheets completed by Ss after each session
asked about any stimulants taken three hours or less before the
ESP Over Distance: Research on the ESP Channel 277
iment. In Experiment I, small amounts of alcohol did not
ect scoring, but qualitative data indicated that larger amounts
were more effective. Alcohol consumption per se did not affect
scoring in Experiment II, but we have no data there about the
amount. In Experiment III, reports of the use of alcohol imme-
diately before the experiment were put in three categories according
to amount used: “light,” “moderate,” and “no amount given”
(there were no reports of “heavy” drinking). The fourteen sessions
in the “moderate” category had a significant positive deviation of
40 on direct hits (CR = 2.53, P = .01).
Discussion
Technology and advances in research methodology can open up
new problem areas not previously available for research. For
example, the development of the telescope made possible re-
search on a whole range of problems in astronomy. Multivariate
research design, multivariable statistics, and computers have made
it theoretically possible to separate the effects of distance from other
effects which might be confounded with them. We have tried to
adapt these procedures so as to gain the maximum information on
our research problems, although doing so necessitates new statistical
conceptualizations and sacrifices some of the clarity of the statistical
rocedures used in the precomputer age. This is the price we have
d to pay for making the problems of the ESP channel accessible
to research.
As stated before, we believe that S receives one flow of ESP
information which is then differentiated into psi-hitting, psi-
missing, displacements, etc., by the gating function of his internal
information processing system. Experiments I, I, and III, as well
as our research on ESP and changed states of consciousness (22),
have led us to the conclusion that it is the total flow of ESP in-
formation, rather than any specific measure of ESP, which is related
in a stable way to the independent variables. For example, S
relaxation was important in all three distance experiments, but we
cannot predict from them which specific ESP measure might be
affected by S relaxation in a future experiment. On the other hand,
we believe it is very likely that S relaxation will relate to one or
more ESP measures in a future experiment. Such general patterns
of association make it appropriate to use canonical correlation to
combine the ESP measures.
Although our conclusion as to the effects of isi Swroriaes on ESP
is not as specific as many parapsychologists wi wish, it appears
that we have expected As much in looking for tight and stable
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278 Journal of the American Society for Psychical Research
relationships between any one ESP measure and the independent
variables. Such relationships et 88 and im are not
licated later. It appears that the subjective and situational
scabies shift the ging and filtering chedaiaine so rapidly that
stable relationships will escape our attention unless we sacrifice
specificity and are satisfied with the more general statements of
association. Only the future will show whether this is correct, but
it seems a reasonable assumption at the present stage of research
into problems of such complexity.
Distance Effects
Our previous findings in the literature survey (21) and Ex-
periment I (24) that ESP attenuates with distance were confirmed
in Experiment II but not in Experiment III. One of the two ESP
measures which was related to distance in Experiment I, the ESP
quotient of forward displacements, provided the strongest decline
effect in Experiment II. The other ESP measure was not affected
by distance in Experiment II, but there were decline effects in
two measures closely related to it. Of course our main reliance
in Experiment II is on the increments in the canonical correlation
coefficient when the distance variable is added. This procedure
produced significant results for two of the canonical ESP variables,
results which are not subject to the limitations of SMRA findings.
Concluding from Experiments I and II that there does seem to
be an attenuation of ESP scoring over distance, how do we account
for the lack of such an effect in Experiment III? Our best guess
is that the psychological scales did not fully measure 7’s mood.
We asked him to describe in writing his reactions to the four cities.
New York rated low: “New York has no special interest for me
since I visit it so often.” He had mixed feelings about Paris and
New Delhi. About Sydney, he wrote: “I liked Sydney the best of
all because of the friendliness of the people, the cleanliness of the
city, and maybe because it was so much like America that I felt at
home.”’ While in Australia he visited a former student, which was
a joyful event. It looks as if there was something of an inverse
relationship between 7 mood and distance in this experiment. Our
interpretation that this obscured the distance effect is, of course,
t hoc.
Ruderfer (34) has raised the question whether ESP goes around
the surface of the earth or directly through it in reaching the target
locations. Our analysis in Experiment II of the increment in the
canonical correlation coefficient indicates that it is the distance
around, rather than through the earth which is important. But
one experiment will not settle the issue, In a private communi-
ESP Over Distance: Research on the ESP Channel 279
cation, Ruderfer has also suggested that other trajectories, such
as those observed for magnetic lines, should be explored. Turner
(21) has derived a formula by which non-linear relationships
between our distance measures and ESP could be traced. Our
present experimental data contain so much error variance (noise)
that we are not able to study these interesting possibilities, We
feel that an increase in the sensitivity of the experiment is the only
way to solve the problem.
ESP Orientation
_ Vasiliev (41) tested the hypothesis that knowing the direction
in which to look for the ESP information source will improve
scoring. He found no such effect, nor did we for Ss who were given
the arrow cue in Experiment II. We are also confident that ESP
efficiency is not directly proportional to scanning area: there are
no major differences in overall scoring across the three experiments.
This somewhat undercuts the radar hypothesis. Since we believe
that clairvoyance over all but the shortest distances is ruled out
by the bombardment hypothesis, we seem to be left with some kind
of network theory. Although this involves the maximal assumption,
it alone seems to be able to accommodate the finding that ESP can
locate distant clairvoyant targets without regard to scanning area.
Of course, further empirical concepts will be needed to better
discriminate between the three hypotheses.
Position Effects
Each of our three position variables related to session proved
to be important; the principal effects were a decline in scoring. On
the other hand, no decline effects from run to run within a single
session were found in any of the three experiments, Our findings
that S session number affects scoring are in line with the extensive
earlier work on the decline of ESP scoring over time. Results from
our two additional position measures related to session, session
number, and session order in location, indicate that the session
order for 7 or for the experimenters should also be taken into
account.
T Mood Effects
The influence of T's mood on scoring is one of the strongest
findings of the experiments. Here we have the paradox of a clair-
voyance experiment influenced by what ap to be uninten-
tional telepathy. Ss’ task, once they “found” 7, required no further
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280 Journal of the American Society for Psychical Research
interaction with him. Still, 7’s influence is cl there. We have
already described how such effects could occur, either in the channel
itself (by changing the noise level, or the signal strength, or by
introducing systematic dispersion or displacements), or in S's
internal information processing system (affecting the filters or
gating processes). If the effect of 7”s mood is to shift scoring from
direct hits to displacements or to change the amount rather than
the direction of scoring, it is likely to take place in the channel.
If the effect is to shift scoring from psi-hitting to psi-missing or
vice versa, it will apparently take place in S’s internal gating system.
The effects of T’s mood in the two experiments are confined
to direct hits and backward displacements, the two types of meas-
ures not affected by distance in Experiments I and II. ‘The tendency
for direct hits is that a “better”? mood increases psi-hitting and
decreases psi-missing; the trend for backward displacements is
in the opposite direction, with Freedom from Anxiety the excep-
tion. Our tentative impression is that gating is more affected by
T’s mood than the amount of psi information.
There is some other evidence for this kind of effect on S’s gating
processes. In her work on two types of telepathy Schmeidler (35)
found that if the agent did not “send” the targets, but aed
wished S success or failure, the scores differed accordingly. The
relationship was complex: for “incompatible” agent/S pairs, the
agent’s wish for failure resulted in high positive scoring for S.
Schmeidler’s interpretation was that the agent affected the center
of S’s brain which governs unconscious motivation. We think it
more likely that the effect was due to S's emotional reaction to
the disagreeable wish, rather than to a direct action by the agent
on S’s brain processes. Schmeidler’s correlation analysis supports
this interpretation of her findings.
Feather and Brier (9) found in two experiments that Ss scored
differently in precognition tests if the experimenter, rather than
an assistant, did the scoring. Ss were told that half of their runs
would be checked by the experimenter and half by an assistant,
and were asked to predict who would score which runs. The runs
scored by the experimenter showed a positive deviation for those
runs Ss predicted would be scored by the experimenter and a
negative deviation for the runs Ss predicted would be scored by
the assistant. The positive and negative deviations were of about
the same magnitude. There was no trend for the runs scored by
the assistant. Here again, it is the gating function to psi-hitting
and psi-missing that is affected.
We plan to study further the effect we found with T's mood.
An experiment in progress at the A.S.P.R. features two persons
sitting with the clairvoyance targets. Ss will focus their attention
ESP Over Distance: Research on the ESP Channel 281
on one of these persons, from whom they have
objects and pictures, but will not be aware of the presence of the
other person. Scoring will be correlated with mood ratings from
the two persons. This will test whether the 7’ mood effect is strictly
dependent on the addressing procedure (with “closed” channel
analogous to a shielded py or whether it is similar to an “open”
field interference effect. Other approaches to the problem would
be to investigate whether Ss score differently with psychometric
objects carried during a “good” mood than with psychometric
objects carried during a “bad” mood, or to test whether the moods
of persons involved in any other way in the experiment (and control
persons) affect S scoring. Tart (37) has given a good discussion
of the ibilities for psi interference, We feel that the problems
a y our findings on 7’s mood are ready for experimental
attack.
S Mood Effects
Ss moods are another set of variables which persistently in-
fluenced scoring in all three experiments, although the influence
is very complex and unstable. Only Relaxation produced similar
effects in Experiments II and III; patterns for the other S mood
variables changed from year to year. Unlike 7 moods, which
SIE affected psi-missing, S moods mainly influenced
~hitting.
Rogers (31) and Carpenter (3, 4) found that the variance of ESP
scoring increased with “better” moods. Our measure of deviations
without ry to sign, used in Experiments I and II, is basically
similar to their variance measure. It produced only one significant
F ratio, so their findings were not confirmed in those experiments.
Despite the strong linear relationships we found between S moods
and ESP, we did not find the curvilinear component of the relation-
ships to be significant. The interactions between S and T moods
in Experiment III were also not important, so this kind of inter-
action apparently was not a source of the 7 mood effects. We feel
confident in stating that the linear relationships between S mood
and ESP were highly important in our experiments, and the
curvilinear and interaction relationships were not.
Task-Related Variables
Here we consider the diverse group of scales from the Observa-
tion Sheet which relate to Ss’ encounter with the experimental
task. The Absorption scale was the only measure which proved
to be important in both experiments. It measures attention to the
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282 Journal of the American Society for Psychical Research
task, a basic variable in the psychology of sensory perception which
has been neglected in ESP research, It is not intended to measure
willfully imposed attention (“‘concentration,” a variable explored
by us in another research project (22) and found not to relate to
ESP). The Absorption scale is aimed at spontaneous attention,
arising from a deeper motivation than the conscious direction of
attention. It is interesting that Absorption does not relate to direct
hits, to which willful concentration would be turned, but instead
strongly affects both forward and backward displacements in their
hitting and missing aspects. One of the two scales introduced in
Experiment II] was intended to measure conscious motivation to
score well: it gave no results. The other new scale, Feeling about
Task, had some relationship to ESP. Again it appears that spon-
taneous depth processes are more important to ESP than conscious
motivation and concentration of attention.
Ss’ Preparation Time and Feeling of Preparedness did not affect
scoring in Experiment II and did not increase it in Experiment III.
This may indicate that a longer and fuller preparation enhanced
spontaneity in some Ss and inhibited it in others.
The Ease of Task scale was one of the most important for our
experimental design. It was our check for the possibility that Ss
might learn by extrasensory means which sessions were in distant
locations and therefore experience these sessions as difficult, pro-
ducing effects on scoring which could be confounded with the
distance effects. In Experiments II and III, although not in Ex-
periment I, Ease of Task correlated negatively with Distance,
indicating that the more distant targets were felt to be slightly
more difficult to reach. Ease of Task is not related to ESP in
Experiment I], but is strongly related in Experiment Ill. The
largest effect on an original ESP variable is the negative relationship
with psi-missing on forward displacements, the ESP variable most
affected by distance in Experiment Il. Could this have obscured
the distance effect in Experiment III? Although Ease of Task
enters the SMRA before distance, it is possible that the scale did
not fully measure the degree of increased difficulty Ss felt when
the distance to the targets was increased. Any ESP awareness of
distance is likely to take place on the subconscious level, and
chological measures of even conscious feelings are never perfect.
eplication will be needed to settle the issue.
Personality and Previous Scoring
These stable variables, measured once per experiment, had
much less relationship to ESP than the transient variables dis-
cussed above. It looks as though personality traits, by themselves,
ESP Over Distance: Research on the ESP Channel 283
are not good predictors of ESP scoring. In the 1940's attempts
were made to obtain star subjects by finding which traits di
criminated between high and low scorers. These attempts ap
to have been too optimistic. It seems better to ask: what kind of
ity, in what kind of social and environmental situation,
and in what mood or state of mind, would do what kind of ESP
task well? We are truly forced into a multivariate approach. An
example of this kind of approach is Schmeidler’s experiments (35)
where the Rorschach was used to predict, not high scorers, but
pairs of percipients and agents whose dynamics would interact
in such a way as to produce high ESP scores.
In Experiments II and III, we tested Eysenck’s proposal that
introversion and extraversion by themselves might be less signifi-
cant for ESP than their interactions with Ss’ arousal levels. The
interaction between the Extraversion scale and Vitality affected
ESP in both experiments; the interaction with Elation produced
results only in Experiment III. The strongest of these effects is
the relationship between S Vitality/Extraversion and ESP in Ex-
periment III. This association is not stronger than that found for
the Extraversion scale itself, and is somewhat weaker than the
results from the S mood variables in that experiment. Perhaps we
need to extend Eysenck’s hypothesis to ask: in what kind of mood
do extraverts and introverts score best at these arousal levels, and
with what 7 mood? Perhaps the sex difference also has to be taken
into account. In our experiments, which were primarily concerned
with the channel, we could not develop adequate multivariate
approaches to these kinds of problems, although we have made a
beginning by including the interactions between Extraversion
and measures of arousal.
The Rosenzweig Picture Frustration Study (33), a powerful
predictor in the Osis and Fahler study (23), gave almost no effects
in Experiments I and II and so was discontinued. S sex was also
unimportant. We can again speculate that these variables 2
give results when combined with transient and situational variables.
In the case of the two scales introduced in Experiment III to
measure Ss’ feelings about 7 and the experiment, the same con-
siderations apply. In addition, Ss might have felt obligated to
answer the questions politely. The mean ratings on these scales
were much higher than the mean rating for the Feeling of Closeness
scale, which was worded so that Ss could check the negative end
of the scale without inhibitions.
The Time Metaphor test was introduced in Experiment III as
a variable which might influence gating toward displacements.
When used in the pretest for that experiment, Ss in the “dynamic”
category scored positively on forward displacements, the effect
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284 Journal of the American Society for Psychical Research
falling just short of signiseance. In Experiment III, there was a
slight positive relation “d ic’ scoring on this test and
psi-missing on forward displacements. This personality dimension
seems to account for a small part of the tendency of Ss to score on
forward displacements.
Pretest scoring was used to select Ss, but we found that high
scoring on a measure in the pretest did not carry over into increased
psi-hitting on that measure in the experiment. On the contrary,
the si ificant relationships between pretest scoring and experi-
mental scoring which occurred were all between different mea-
sures; e.g., between backward displacements and direct hits. The
tendency to score on one measure rather than another seems to
be due less to enduring traits in the individual than to shifting
subjective and situational factors.
SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK
Very broadly defined channel characteristics have been the delight
of ohiosophers who scem to be able to enlist them in support of
the particular philosophy they hold, be it monistic or dualistic.
At the same time, research has suffered from the lack of empirically
testable concepts of the ESP channel. Recent work has begun to
meet this need; besides our own efforts, the work of Tart (37),
Murphy (14, 15, 16), Marsh (12), and Schmeidler (35) has helped
to clarify thinking on the channel and provided testable hypotheses
and pertinent results. The channel is open for research.
We found some evidence for attenuation of ESP information
over distance in two out of three experiments. In terms of the ESP
quotient of forward displacements, the attenuation appears to be
somewhere between .7 to 1.7 units per thousand miles under
comparable conditions. The size of the scanning area secmed to
be rather unimportant to ESP success. The few cues given for
ESP orientation or addressing appeared to be sufficient. Whether
fewer cues would suffice has still to be explored. We also found
that the encounter between personalities, expressed in the 7’ mood
effect, influenced scoring. S moods and position effects continued
to be important.
We have begun to explore these areas with the methodology
of the 1960's. In the 1970's we need to build further, replicating
and expanding the channel research with new methodological
advances. We feel that the personality of man and the structure
sy the aiyaete cannot be fully understood apart from the ESP
nnel.
ESP Over Distance: Research on the ESP Channel 285
10.
11.
12.
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Clock Cards.” Journal S.P.R., Vol. 37, November-December,
1953, 185-197.
43. Wooprurr, J. L., anp Date, L. A. “Subject and Experimenter
Attitudes in Relation to ESP Scoring.” Journal A.S.P.R.,
Vol. 44, July, 1950, 87-112.
The Chester F. Carlson Research Laboratory
A.S.P.R.
5 West 73rd Street
New York, N. Y. 10023
Aprenpix I
Observation Sheet
(Please fill in right after the session)
A. Lecter rdecl) onti. sate a sashes spread
minutes (approximately)
Stimulants taken within 3 hours:
drink———
Coffee, Tea, or Cola
C. Stimulating Procedures:
Pasay srg mE ca
Sethu anal eee ——
D. If you prepared yourself, what did you do?
Alcohol——
by you:
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288 Fournal of the American Society for Psychical Research
1, Felt prepared for the Did not feel prepared for
session ——!— 1111: —:— the session
2. The session appeared The session seemed to
difficult this dene —— 1 1: —:— easily if
3. Felt close to the pic- Did not feel close connec-
tures, traveler, etc. = 1 1 tion
4. Tense 1: —— Relaxed
5. Was completely absorb- Could not keep my mind
ed in the test ——— 1: —:—:— on the test
6. Felt low, “blue” 1: Felt very good; elated
7. Great vitality 1 Very tired
8. Anxious, upset, worried —:—:—:—:—:—_:—:—_:— Free, at ease
9. Felt very good with ‘Test embarrassed and irri-
test —— 11:1 —:—:— tated me
10. Wanted very much to Didn’t really care what
score well 1:1: :— score I got
F. Did anything unusually disturbing or upsetting happen to you lately ? ————
G. Did anything particularly good or wonderful happen in your life lately? ——
(Please use the other side for any additional comments)
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